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Red40
9998-1.6
927726.7
462720.3
Blue141
61888.1
442159.4
1038422.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6310105015040141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+79
Endgame+89
Fouls+101
AutonomousBlue +13
9Leave0
0Coral scored#5
1Coral points23
10Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +66
6Coral scored#16
22Coral points58
0Processor algae#3
1Net algae#4
0Processor points18
4Net points16
4Algae points34
26Total teleop92
Reef
2L4#8
2L3#4
1L2#5
1L1 · trough#4
7Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +101
0Foul points12
40Total score141

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.72.3
23.621.4
Auto6.0
Teleop14.9
End5.9
blue by 32.7
59.42.0
54.956.8
Auto15.8
Teleop35.3
End8.3
Second
4627
#12
20.32.3
25.222.9
Auto5.5
Teleop12.9
End1.9
blue by 2.5
22.72.0
17.519.5
Auto3.5
Teleop14.8
End4.4
Third
9998
#14
-1.63.8
9.05.2
Auto0.1
Teleop-2.6
End0.8
blue by 9.7
6188
#13
8.12.0
9.411.4
Auto1.8
Teleop4.9
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsMissed65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsMissed48%Barge oddsEarned