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Red16
462720.3
99995.0
Blue26
1038422.7
486215.1
94497.4
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4063020801001201401626

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+6
Endgame+10
Fouls+10
AutonomousRed +6
6Leave3
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +12
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points12
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
0Processor points0
0Net points0
0Algae points0
0Total teleop12
Reef
1L4#1
0L3#1
0L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
1Game pieces#4
BargeBlue +4
4Cage & park8
4Total endgame8
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points0
16Total score26

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4627
#12
20.31.8
27.025.2
Auto5.5
Teleop12.9
End1.9
blue by 2.5
22.71.4
18.917.5
Auto3.5
Teleop14.8
End4.4
Second
7.51.8
11.09.2
Auto4.1
Teleop1.5
End2.1
blue by 7.6
15.11.4
17.416.0
Auto4.2
Teleop10.8
End0.2
Third
9999
#11
5.03.0
4.92.0
Auto3.2
Teleop0.3
End1.4
blue by 2.4
7.41.4
11.09.6
Auto1.9
Teleop3.9
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed10%Barge oddsMissed