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Red40
999112.2
997721.5
99948.5
Blue81
927726.7
442159.4
997315.9
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions351030501502002504081

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+15
Teleop+29
Endgame+41
Fouls+41
AutonomousBlue +15
3Leave9
2Coral scored#4
9Coral points18
12Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +14
4Coral scored#7
14Coral points24
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
0Processor points0
4Net points8
4Algae points8
18Total teleop32
Reef
2L4#3
2L3#5
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +41
6Foul points6
40Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.51.2
13.414.6
Auto4.0
Teleop14.3
End3.0
blue by 37.9
59.40.7
55.554.9
Auto15.8
Teleop35.3
End8.3
Second
12.21.2
8.49.6
Auto3.7
Teleop6.3
End2.1
blue by 14.6
26.70.7
24.323.6
Auto6.0
Teleop14.9
End5.9
Third
8.51.2
1.52.7
Auto1.6
Teleop5.9
End1.0
blue by 7.4
15.91.1
5.34.1
Auto3.9
Teleop5.6
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
16%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsMissed77%Barge oddsEarned