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Red41
999112.2
61888.1
Blue64
9998-1.6
1038422.7
997721.5
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions316002040801001201404164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+27
Endgame+29
Fouls+23
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave0
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +30
3Coral scored#9
10Coral points34
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
14Total teleop44
Reef
1L4#5
1L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +2
6Cage & park8
6Total endgame8
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
12Foul points6
41Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
12.21.3
9.78.4
Auto3.7
Teleop6.3
End2.1
blue by 10.6
22.70.4
18.518.9
Auto3.5
Teleop14.8
End4.4
Second
6188
#13
8.10.8
10.29.4
Auto1.8
Teleop4.9
End1.4
blue by 13.4
21.50.7
12.613.4
Auto4.0
Teleop14.3
End3.0
Third
7.50.9
11.911.0
Auto4.1
Teleop1.5
End2.1
red by 9.2
9998
#14
-1.60.7
8.39.0
Auto0.1
Teleop-2.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsMissed30%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsEarned27%Barge oddsMissed