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Red14
1038422.7
9998-1.6
99995.0
Blue31
486215.1
997315.9
61888.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions193004060801001201401431

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+3
Endgame+5
Fouls+17
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave9
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
6Total auto9
Teleoperatedlevel
1Coral scored#1
4Coral points4
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
0Processor points0
0Net points0
0Algae points0
4Total teleop4
Reef
1L4#1
0L3#0
1L2#0
0L1 · trough#0
2Game pieces#1
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
0Foul points12
14Total score31

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.70.4
19.919.5
Auto3.5
Teleop14.8
End4.4
red by 6.8
15.90.2
2.62.4
Auto3.9
Teleop5.6
End6.3
Second
9999
#11
5.00.6
2.72.1
Auto3.2
Teleop0.3
End1.4
blue by 10.2
15.10.1
10.810.7
Auto4.2
Teleop10.8
End0.2
Third
9998
#14
-1.60.6
-2.4-3.1
Auto0.1
Teleop-2.6
End0.8
blue by 9.7
6188
#13
8.10.1
7.47.3
Auto1.8
Teleop4.9
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsMissed36%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
5%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsMissed