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Red14
462720.3
9998-1.6
Blue37
999112.2
99948.5
486215.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions343702060801001437

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+19
Endgame+23
Fouls+23
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave9
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +16
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points10
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#0
0Processor points6
0Net points0
0Algae points6
0Total teleop16
Reef
0L4#1
0L3#1
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#0
1Game pieces#4
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
6Foul points6
14Total score37

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4627
#12
20.31.0
18.717.7
Auto5.5
Teleop12.9
End1.9
red by 5.1
15.10.7
10.711.5
Auto4.2
Teleop10.8
End0.2
Second
7.51.0
7.96.9
Auto4.1
Teleop1.5
End2.1
blue by 4.6
12.21.1
6.77.8
Auto3.7
Teleop6.3
End2.1
Third
9998
#14
-1.61.5
-3.1-4.6
Auto0.1
Teleop-2.6
End0.8
blue by 10.2
8.51.1
2.43.4
Auto1.6
Teleop5.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
14%Auto oddsMissed42%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsMissed