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Red28
999112.2
927726.7
9998-1.6
Blue24
99995.0
94497.4
1038422.7
53%Model gave it47%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33270501001502002824

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+8Teleop
+4Endgame
+4Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave6
0Coral scored#0
1Coral points0
10Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +4
4Coral scored#3
14Coral points10
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
0Processor points0
0Net points0
0Algae points0
14Total teleop10
Reef
1L4#1
1L3#1
1L2#0
1L1 · trough#1
4Game pieces#3
BargeBlue +4
4Cage & park8
4Total endgame8
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
0Foul points0
28Total score24

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.70.2
16.416.6
Auto6.0
Teleop14.9
End5.9
red by 4.0
22.70.6
18.618.1
Auto3.5
Teleop14.8
End4.4
Second
12.20.2
7.88.1
Auto3.7
Teleop6.3
End2.1
red by 4.8
7.40.6
6.25.6
Auto1.9
Teleop3.9
End1.7
Third
9998
#14
-1.60.2
-4.6-4.3
Auto0.1
Teleop-2.6
End0.8
blue by 6.6
9999
#11
5.00.8
2.11.4
Auto3.2
Teleop0.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
16%Auto oddsMissed47%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed3%Barge oddsMissed