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Red87
1021334.7
395226.9
656053.7
Blue83
606010.8
441949.9
69120.8
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13577501001502008783

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+2Teleop
+2Endgame
+4Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave6
4Coral scored#4
20Coral points20
23Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +5
11Coral scored#9
38Coral points31
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
46Total teleop41
Reef
6L4#4
4L3#4
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#15
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
2Foul points0
87Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.72.4
55.453.0
Auto9.0
Teleop34.8
End9.8
red by 3.8
4419
#12
49.90.2
49.049.1
Auto8.0
Teleop36.7
End5.1
Second
34.73.3
36.633.4
Auto7.5
Teleop24.7
End2.4
red by 13.9
691
#35
20.80.2
20.720.9
Auto6.6
Teleop9.6
End4.6
Third
3952
#26
26.92.4
29.727.2
Auto5.1
Teleop16.4
End5.5
red by 16.1
6060
#33
10.80.2
10.911.1
Auto4.9
Teleop4.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned40%Barge oddsEarned