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Red131
605925.9
1024619.6
550764.3
Blue92
549930.7
641848.4
1033915.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1139540608012014016018013192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+17Teleop
+27Endgame
+39Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave6
7Coral scored#3
33Coral points17
33Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +7
11Coral scored#13
40Coral points47
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
12Processor points6
20Net points12
32Algae points18
72Total teleop65
Reef
6L4#4
6L3#6
2L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#20
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +39
12Foul points0
131Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.31.4
56.057.4
Auto19.3
Teleop37.1
End7.9
red by 15.9
6418
#12
48.40.3
45.245.4
Auto14.7
Teleop33.5
End0.1
Second
6059
#10
25.91.4
23.224.6
Auto5.2
Teleop18.9
End1.8
blue by 4.8
5499
#43
30.70.3
28.528.7
Auto6.0
Teleop23.4
End1.2
Third
19.62.3
18.921.2
Auto6.0
Teleop12.0
End1.6
red by 3.9
15.80.3
14.114.4
Auto4.7
Teleop8.8
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
25%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsEarned14%Barge oddsMissed