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Red107
418626.1
885251.1
801632.3
Blue116
499027.5
698530.9
84156.6
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions133121100140160180107116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+5Auto
+1Teleop
Endgame+9
Fouls+9
AutonomousRed +5
6Leave0
4Coral scored#4
21Coral points22
27Total auto22
TeleoperatedBlue +4
16Coral scored#16
56Coral points56
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
12Processor points12
8Net points12
20Algae points24
76Total teleop80
Reef
8L4#10
4L3#4
3L2#4
5L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
0Foul points0
107Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8852
#33
51.10.9
53.252.3
Auto13.4
Teleop37.5
End0.2
blue by 5.5
841
#20
56.60.3
56.857.1
Auto9.8
Teleop40.8
End6.1
Second
8016
#38
32.30.9
34.833.8
Auto4.9
Teleop25.1
End2.3
red by 1.4
6985
#28
30.90.3
27.227.6
Auto7.8
Teleop18.7
End4.3
Third
4186
#35
26.10.9
33.232.3
Auto5.6
Teleop18.0
End2.5
blue by 1.4
4990
#32
27.50.3
27.127.4
Auto5.3
Teleop20.3
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsMissed84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
23%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed64%Barge oddsEarned