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Red180
803377.4
879338.4
97258.5
Blue159
84156.6
186835.5
641848.4
86%Model gave it14%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions177139100150200250180159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+11Teleop
+23Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave0
11Coral scored#9
54Coral points47
54Total auto47
TeleoperatedRed +4
20Coral scored#19
72Coral points68
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
12Processor points12
16Net points16
28Algae points28
100Total teleop96
Reef
15L4#12
8L3#5
3L2#5
5L1 · trough#6
37Game pieces#34
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +21
0Foul points2
180Total score159

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
77.40.4
73.774.0
Auto21.1
Teleop48.4
End8.0
red by 20.8
841
#20
56.60.4
56.256.6
Auto9.8
Teleop40.8
End6.1
Second
972
#4
58.50.4
54.755.1
Auto11.1
Teleop38.1
End9.3
red by 10.1
6418
#12
48.40.4
48.048.4
Auto14.7
Teleop33.5
End0.1
Third
8793
#26
38.40.4
34.635.0
Auto11.6
Teleop22.6
End4.2
red by 2.9
1868
#11
35.50.4
35.135.5
Auto10.4
Teleop20.8
End4.3