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Red237
25490.2
220441.0
427079.9
Blue189
541962.7
1020237.0
550764.3
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions219158100200250237189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
+38Teleop
+48Endgame
+48Fouls
AutonomousBlue +28
3Leave6
7Coral scored#12
34Coral points59
37Total auto65
TeleoperatedRed +66
29Coral scored#25
106Coral points90
6Processor algae#1
8Net algae#3
36Processor points6
32Net points12
68Algae points18
174Total teleop108
Reef
8L4#12
14L3#7
7L2#10
7L1 · trough#8
50Game pieces#41
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +48
0Foul points0
237Total score189

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#1
90.20.7
87.888.6
Auto20.8
Teleop59.0
End10.5
red by 26.0
64.30.7
62.663.3
Auto19.3
Teleop37.1
End7.9
Second
79.90.7
77.578.2
Auto17.9
Teleop51.3
End10.7
red by 17.2
62.70.7
61.161.7
Auto13.9
Teleop40.0
End8.8
Third
2204
#36
41.00.7
38.639.3
Auto11.6
Teleop27.8
End1.6
red by 4.0
37.00.7
35.336.0
Auto7.7
Teleop28.0
End1.3