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Red223
427087.0
715755.4
432262.5
Blue136
59953.3
656053.6
114831.6
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21613750100200250300350223136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
+77Teleop
+87Endgame
+87Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave3
5Coral scored#8
24Coral points41
30Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +91
36Coral scored#12
129Coral points44
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#5
18Processor points12
20Net points20
38Algae points32
167Total teleop76
Reef
14L4#9
12L3#5
8L2#4
7L1 · trough#2
49Game pieces#27
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +87
0Foul points0
223Total score136

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
87.01.7
83.585.2
Auto15.7
Teleop61.8
End9.4
red by 33.4
6560
#33
53.60.1
53.053.0
Auto11.8
Teleop33.2
End8.5
Second
4322
#22
62.51.7
60.161.9
Auto12.7
Teleop48.7
End1.1
red by 9.2
599
#29
53.30.1
52.252.1
Auto14.4
Teleop38.2
End0.7
Third
55.41.7
53.455.1
Auto8.0
Teleop39.2
End8.1
red by 23.8
1148
#21
31.60.1
31.731.6
Auto7.7
Teleop19.2
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
84%Coral oddsEarned15%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
71%Barge oddsEarned49%Barge oddsEarned