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Red129
84669.7
304569.7
681427.7
Blue140
1127446.2
581754.5
947036.0
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions188142050100250300129140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+25
Endgame+13
Fouls+11
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave3
7Coral scored#7
35Coral points34
44Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +32
10Coral scored#18
37Coral points63
3Processor algae#2
3Net algae#6
18Processor points12
12Net points24
30Algae points36
67Total teleop99
Reef
7L4#8
4L3#8
3L2#5
3L1 · trough#4
23Game pieces#33
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Penalties & totalBlue +11
4Foul points2
129Total score140

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.71.0
71.370.3
Auto18.7
Teleop40.5
End10.5
red by 15.2
5817
#19
54.50.0
55.055.0
Auto6.9
Teleop47.2
End0.4
Second
846
#6
69.71.0
71.370.3
Auto15.3
Teleop45.7
End8.7
red by 23.5
46.20.0
45.745.8
Auto12.0
Teleop29.3
End4.8
Third
6814
#14
27.71.0
29.428.4
Auto5.7
Teleop21.0
End1.0
blue by 8.2
9470
#10
36.00.0
35.635.6
Auto10.8
Teleop22.7
End2.5