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Red57
64922.6
543013.6
25323.4
Blue120
84041.1
10041.2
724510.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8610805015020025030057120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+61
Endgame+71
Fouls+63
AutonomousBlue +13
6Leave3
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points16
6Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +48
6Coral scored#18
23Coral points65
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
12Processor points6
4Net points16
16Algae points22
39Total teleop87
Reef
2L4#7
2L3#6
1L2#5
1L1 · trough#3
9Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +63
8Foul points0
57Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
253
#23
23.41.6
21.720.1
Auto1.7
Teleop19.5
End2.2
blue by 17.8
100
#10
41.22.0
41.843.8
Auto8.6
Teleop25.7
End6.9
Second
649
#36Sur
22.61.6
37.535.9
Auto7.3
Teleop13.4
End1.9
blue by 18.5
840
#3
41.12.0
39.241.2
Auto6.3
Teleop30.3
End4.6
Third
5430
#34
13.61.6
14.312.7
Auto3.5
Teleop8.2
End1.8
red by 3.1
7245
#32
10.52.0
8.710.7
Auto3.4
Teleop6.8
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
21%Auto oddsMissed65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed26%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
16%Barge oddsEarned40%Barge oddsEarned