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Red191
76644.3
641853.7
839.6
Blue46
688415.8
67045.7
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1436305010020019146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+31Auto
+91Teleop
+103Endgame
+145Fouls
AutonomousRed +31
3Leave6
7Coral scored#0
34Coral points0
37Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +60
17Coral scored#7
62Coral points24
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#2
12Processor points6
24Net points8
36Algae points14
98Total teleop38
Reef
9L4#3
5L3#2
5L2#1
5L1 · trough#1
32Game pieces#10
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +145
42Foul points0
191Total score46

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.70.9
49.250.1
Auto19.3
Teleop28.0
End6.4
red by 7.9
670
#8
45.72.1
44.442.3
Auto10.5
Teleop28.3
End6.9
Second
766
#9
44.30.9
43.544.4
Auto5.9
Teleop32.3
End6.1
red by 28.5
6884
#39
15.82.1
18.916.8
Auto3.3
Teleop11.3
End1.2
Third
8
#21
39.60.9
31.332.2
Auto13.2
Teleop23.4
End3.1
red by 35.2
4.43.5
5.21.7
Auto1.7
Teleop3.3
End-0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
69%Barge oddsEarned58%Barge oddsMissed