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Red59
135143.1
170015.0
490425.6
Blue103
186832.5
248923.3
304572.2
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9214705020059103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+24
Endgame+36
Fouls+44
AutonomousBlue +21
0Leave0
2Coral scored#6
9Coral points30
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +3
10Coral scored#9
36Coral points31
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
46Total teleop49
Reef
5L4#7
3L3#3
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +44
0Foul points8
59Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1351
#15
43.12.2
45.142.9
Auto6.7
Teleop35.1
End1.3
blue by 29.2
72.22.2
65.963.8
Auto19.0
Teleop42.3
End11.0
Second
4904
#19
25.62.2
24.522.3
Auto4.1
Teleop20.5
End1.0
blue by 6.8
1868
#18
32.52.2
35.233.0
Auto8.0
Teleop17.7
End6.7
Third
1700
#38
15.02.2
22.720.5
Auto3.9
Teleop7.9
End3.2
blue by 8.3
2489
#26
23.32.2
26.424.2
Auto5.0
Teleop16.9
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsMissed88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed39%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed77%Barge oddsEarned