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Red64
85225.6
418616.8
75125.9
Blue119
605924.5
264328.7
84669.1
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8613605010015020064119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+43
Endgame+55
Fouls+55
AutonomousBlue +8
6Leave6
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points17
15Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +35
11Coral scored#15
39Coral points54
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
0Processor points12
8Net points16
8Algae points28
47Total teleop82
Reef
4L4#4
3L3#8
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +55
0Foul points0
64Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
751
#22
25.91.4
28.827.4
Auto7.4
Teleop16.0
End2.5
blue by 43.2
846
#11
69.10.1
62.162.3
Auto15.8
Teleop46.9
End6.3
Second
852
#20
25.61.4
28.527.1
Auto5.2
Teleop19.4
End1.0
blue by 3.1
2643
#27
28.70.1
24.124.2
Auto3.4
Teleop24.4
End0.9
Third
4186
#28
16.81.4
21.920.6
Auto2.6
Teleop12.7
End1.5
blue by 7.7
6059
#30
24.50.1
25.025.1
Auto3.8
Teleop18.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
19%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed62%Barge oddsEarned