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Red110
84041.1
325653.9
185412.3
Blue182
603650.8
196737.2
696243.1
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114142050100200110182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+32
Teleop+84
Endgame+72
Fouls+72
AutonomousBlue +32
3Leave0
2Coral scored#9
9Coral points44
12Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +52
15Coral scored#24
54Coral points86
2Processor algae#4
4Net algae#6
12Processor points24
16Net points24
28Algae points48
82Total teleop134
Reef
4L4#10
6L3#10
5L2#9
2L1 · trough#4
23Game pieces#43
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Penalties & totalBlue +72
2Foul points2
110Total score182

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3256
#17
53.90.0
53.953.9
Auto12.9
Teleop32.9
End8.1
red by 3.1
50.81.1
49.550.6
Auto12.5
Teleop35.2
End3.2
Second
840
#3
41.10.0
41.241.1
Auto6.3
Teleop30.3
End4.6
blue by 2.0
6962
#24
43.11.1
41.842.9
Auto12.2
Teleop31.8
End-0.8
Third
1854
#33
12.30.1
12.412.3
Auto1.7
Teleop8.1
End2.6
blue by 24.8
1967
#16
37.21.1
35.937.0
Auto11.3
Teleop24.9
End1.0