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Red193
107260.1
264328.7
84167.4
Blue139
603650.8
196737.2
696243.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions166140100150200193139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
+36Teleop
+46Endgame
+54Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave3
6Coral scored#8
30Coral points41
30Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +50
20Coral scored#15
71Coral points53
5Processor algae#3
10Net algae#5
30Processor points18
40Net points20
70Algae points38
141Total teleop91
Reef
12L4#9
7L3#7
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#4
41Game pieces#31
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +54
8Foul points0
193Total score139

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
841
#4
67.40.8
64.865.6
Auto14.9
Teleop42.5
End10.0
red by 16.6
50.80.2
50.650.8
Auto12.5
Teleop35.2
End3.2
Second
60.10.8
57.558.3
Auto18.1
Teleop33.5
End8.4
red by 17.0
6962
#24
43.10.2
42.943.1
Auto12.2
Teleop31.8
End-0.8
Third
2643
#27
28.70.8
26.126.9
Auto3.4
Teleop24.4
End0.9
blue by 8.5
1967
#16
37.20.2
37.037.2
Auto11.3
Teleop24.9
End1.0