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Red109
420139.2
959931.2
581736.9
Blue70
115910.0
70229.8
656033.4
89%Model gave it11%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9459020408012014010970

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+29Teleop
+39Endgame
+39Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave0
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points9
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +15
12Coral scored#9
44Coral points31
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#2
12Processor points18
16Net points8
28Algae points26
72Total teleop57
Reef
5L4#5
6L3#2
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#16
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +39
0Foul points0
109Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4201
#11
39.22.7
31.934.6
Auto6.9
Teleop29.1
End3.2
red by 5.8
6560
#22
33.41.0
24.725.8
Auto3.8
Teleop28.3
End1.3
Second
5817
#13
36.92.7
28.030.7
Auto7.6
Teleop25.3
End3.9
red by 7.1
702
#40
29.81.0
16.617.6
Auto6.5
Teleop22.9
End0.4
Third
9599
#35
31.22.7
19.121.8
Auto5.0
Teleop23.3
End2.9
red by 21.2
1159
#32
10.01.0
14.115.1
Auto3.4
Teleop4.3
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsEarned22%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsEarned47%Barge oddsMissed