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Red65
502520.8
237525.2
283919.4
Blue80
811931.3
375930.7
145214.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions585101001506580

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+1Teleop
Endgame+3
Fouls+15
AutonomousRed +9
9Leave3
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
12Total auto3
TeleoperatedBlue +8
9Coral scored#13
31Coral points45
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
51Total teleop59
Reef
4L4#6
4L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
14Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
0Foul points12
65Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2375
#27
25.20.3
22.022.3
Auto4.2
Teleop18.8
End2.2
blue by 6.1
8119
#24Sur
31.30.6
16.917.6
Auto3.2
Teleop27.2
End0.8
Second
5025
#34Sur
20.80.3
12.312.6
Auto4.6
Teleop14.5
End1.7
blue by 9.9
3759
#12
30.70.6
13.914.6
Auto5.3
Teleop23.7
End1.7
Third
2839
#42
19.40.3
15.916.3
Auto2.8
Teleop16.0
End0.6
red by 4.9
1452
#37
14.50.6
16.417.0
Auto3.7
Teleop9.4
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsMissed20%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsEarned