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Red95
265815.0
248535.6
61037.5
Blue182
138842.4
801529.8
421.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions938405015095182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+41
Endgame+51
Fouls+87
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave0
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points16
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +31
18Coral scored#23
65Coral points84
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#3
6Processor points18
12Net points12
18Algae points30
83Total teleop114
Reef
5L4#9
6L3#8
6L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
23Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +87
0Foul points36
95Total score182

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#15
37.50.4
34.033.6
Auto4.6
Teleop32.4
End0.5
blue by 4.9
42.46.2
35.241.4
Auto7.2
Teleop31.4
End3.7
Second
2485
#14
35.60.4
27.226.8
Auto6.8
Teleop26.8
End2.0
red by 5.8
8015
#23
29.86.2
15.822.0
Auto7.4
Teleop19.8
End2.6
Third
2658
#46
15.00.4
17.717.3
Auto2.4
Teleop10.2
End2.4
blue by 6.4
4
#33
21.46.2
19.826.0
Auto3.3
Teleop16.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsMissed60%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsMissed28%Barge oddsEarned