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Red100
977214.0
440048.6
676634.0
Blue114
551519.8
325561.9
876816.6
29%Model gave it71%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions728920406080100120140100114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+12Teleop
+2Endgame
Fouls+14
AutonomousBlue +6
0Leave3
3Coral scored#4
16Coral points19
16Total auto22
TeleoperatedRed +18
14Coral scored#9
52Coral points34
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
70Total teleop52
Reef
8L4#4
3L3#5
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
8Foul points24
100Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.62.9
35.338.2
Auto11.7
Teleop34.2
End2.6
blue by 13.3
61.91.7
38.640.4
Auto14.0
Teleop39.8
End8.1
Second
6766
#30
34.02.9
19.822.7
Auto6.5
Teleop27.0
End0.6
red by 14.2
5515
#20
19.81.7
14.215.9
Auto6.3
Teleop12.1
End1.5
Third
9772
#45
14.02.9
10.613.5
Auto2.9
Teleop10.3
End0.8
blue by 2.6
8768
#29
16.61.7
21.623.3
Auto3.5
Teleop10.3
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsMissed71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed59%Barge oddsEarned