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Red66
128014.6
903840.1
1006412.3
Blue93
550741.9
84639.8
581740.9
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4913401001502002506693

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+29
Endgame+27
Fouls+27
AutonomousBlue +21
9Leave6
0Coral scored#5
0Coral points24
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +8
10Coral scored#11
37Coral points41
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
51Total teleop59
Reef
4L4#5
3L3#5
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
13Game pieces#20
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +27
0Foul points0
66Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9038
#16
40.11.1
28.429.6
Auto12.7
Teleop25.9
End1.5
blue by 1.8
5507
#13
41.92.6
35.032.4
Auto12.0
Teleop23.9
End6.0
Second
1280
#27
14.60.8
7.38.1
Auto3.0
Teleop10.5
End1.1
blue by 26.3
5817
#22
40.91.7
40.338.6
Auto9.9
Teleop28.3
End2.8
Third
12.30.9
11.412.3
Auto3.0
Teleop7.7
End1.6
blue by 27.5
846
#10
39.81.7
32.530.8
Auto5.8
Teleop32.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
18%Auto oddsMissed57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed54%Barge oddsMissed