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Red74
476534.6
88408.6
490425.3
Blue25
572814.6
418624.0
1028122.1
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59602040801007425

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+39Teleop
+37Endgame
+49Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave9
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +39
10Coral scored#2
35Coral points6
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
49Total teleop10
Reef
3L4#1
5L3#1
2L2#0
2L1 · trough#0
15Game pieces#3
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +49
12Foul points0
74Total score25

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4765
#21
34.60.0
19.319.3
Auto5.2
Teleop27.6
End1.8
red by 10.6
4186
#29
24.03.1
24.121.0
Auto6.0
Teleop15.1
End2.9
Second
4904
#14
25.30.0
19.919.8
Auto6.5
Teleop17.0
End1.8
red by 3.2
22.13.1
12.79.6
Auto5.2
Teleop14.3
End2.6
Third
8840
#37
8.60.0
17.217.1
Auto2.6
Teleop3.0
End3.0
blue by 6.0
5728
#23
14.63.1
12.99.8
Auto3.1
Teleop10.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsMissed22%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsMissed