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Red116
466923.2
1052357.2
425522.1
Blue60
497319.3
1039016.3
801629.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8053010015011660

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+38Teleop
+50Endgame
+56Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave9
2Coral scored#0
11Coral points0
20Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +27
11Coral scored#10
38Coral points37
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#1
12Processor points6
24Net points4
36Algae points10
74Total teleop47
Reef
3L4#4
5L3#2
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#12
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +56
6Foul points0
116Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.24.7
22.527.3
Auto11.1
Teleop40.6
End5.5
red by 27.7
8016
#28
29.51.1
20.922.0
Auto4.0
Teleop23.7
End1.8
Second
4669
#25
23.24.7
21.726.4
Auto4.9
Teleop16.2
End2.1
red by 3.9
4973
#38
19.31.1
15.016.2
Auto4.0
Teleop14.3
End1.0
Third
4255
#35
22.14.7
23.027.8
Auto5.1
Teleop14.7
End2.4
red by 5.8
16.30.7
13.914.6
Auto3.1
Teleop9.2
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsMissed53%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsEarned27%Barge oddsMissed