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Red65
885911.2
84134.0
682215.1
Blue165
885246.5
325643.1
84041.4
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6310605015020065165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+60
Endgame+82
Fouls+100
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points7
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +50
12Coral scored#20
43Coral points73
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#4
6Processor points18
8Net points16
14Algae points34
57Total teleop107
Reef
4L4#8
4L3#6
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +22
2Cage & park24
2Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +100
0Foul points18
65Total score165

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
841
#24
34.00.1
33.033.2
Auto4.9
Teleop25.1
End4.1
blue by 12.5
46.55.7
27.533.2
Auto10.6
Teleop34.1
End1.8
Second
6822
#40
15.10.1
13.013.1
Auto4.3
Teleop10.9
End-0.1
blue by 28.1
43.14.2
29.333.4
Auto8.3
Teleop28.7
End6.1
Third
8859
#32
11.20.1
12.812.9
Auto2.4
Teleop7.8
End1.0
blue by 30.2
840
#3
41.43.8
33.036.8
Auto4.0
Teleop29.4
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsMissed40%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed46%Barge oddsEarned