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Red180
763632.3
397057.8
476534.6
Blue104
88408.6
592423.7
550741.9
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95754060120140160180180104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+84Teleop
+76Endgame
+76Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
3Leave0
5Coral scored#4
24Coral points19
27Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +76
31Coral scored#11
113Coral points41
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
12Processor points12
12Net points8
24Algae points20
137Total teleop61
Reef
10L4#6
12L3#3
10L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
41Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +76
0Foul points0
180Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.85.8
38.844.6
Auto13.7
Teleop37.7
End6.4
red by 16.0
5507
#13
41.93.2
34.237.4
Auto12.0
Teleop23.9
End6.0
Second
4765
#21
34.69.7
22.131.8
Auto5.2
Teleop27.6
End1.8
red by 10.9
5924
#17
23.71.9
17.119.0
Auto4.9
Teleop14.5
End4.3
Third
32.35.8
21.026.8
Auto6.0
Teleop24.5
End1.7
red by 23.7
8840
#37
8.63.2
12.916.1
Auto2.6
Teleop3.0
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsMissed47%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsEarned28%Barge oddsEarned