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Red62
84041.4
466923.2
418624.0
Blue59
255125.0
758921.0
543011.9
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104680501506259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+7
+5Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave0
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +10
6Coral scored#9
21Coral points33
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
12Processor points6
4Net points8
16Algae points14
37Total teleop47
Reef
2L4#4
2L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#13
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
0Foul points2
62Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
840
#3
41.42.1
42.039.9
Auto4.0
Teleop29.4
End8.0
red by 16.5
2551
#31
25.01.0
22.121.1
Auto4.1
Teleop18.3
End2.6
Second
4186
#29
24.03.5
20.817.3
Auto6.0
Teleop15.1
End2.9
red by 2.9
7589
#33
21.00.6
20.519.9
Auto3.0
Teleop17.0
End1.1
Third
4669
#25
23.23.5
21.618.1
Auto4.9
Teleop16.2
End2.1
red by 11.3
5430
#36
11.91.0
15.614.6
Auto1.2
Teleop8.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsMissed29%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsEarned18%Barge oddsMissed