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Red85
186829.2
497319.3
1028122.1
Blue141
11437.5
128014.6
84639.8
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions708520406010012014085141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+46
Endgame+44
Fouls+56
AutonomousBlue +11
6Leave3
1Coral scored#4
6Coral points20
12Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +35
11Coral scored#20
39Coral points72
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#3
12Processor points18
16Net points12
28Algae points30
67Total teleop102
Reef
4L4#11
4L3#5
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#30
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +56
0Foul points12
85Total score141

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1868
#20
29.20.7
24.225.0
Auto6.6
Teleop20.0
End2.5
blue by 10.6
846
#10
39.82.9
33.035.9
Auto5.8
Teleop32.3
End1.7
Second
22.11.2
21.322.5
Auto5.2
Teleop14.3
End2.6
blue by 15.4
114
#11
37.52.9
33.236.1
Auto10.0
Teleop25.3
End2.2
Third
4973
#38
19.31.2
19.320.6
Auto4.0
Teleop14.3
End1.0
red by 4.7
1280
#27
14.62.9
7.910.8
Auto3.0
Teleop10.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsEarned43%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsMissed