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Red53
351235.9
840419.8
471111.4
Blue69
58927.3
407936.7
551417.9
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67772040601001205369

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+12
Endgame+4
Fouls+16
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave3
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points13
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +2
6Coral scored#8
23Coral points27
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
6Processor points0
4Net points8
10Algae points8
33Total teleop35
Reef
2L4#4
2L3#2
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#13
BargeRed +8
12Cage & park4
12Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
2Foul points14
53Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.91.1
28.026.9
Auto3.3
Teleop27.5
End5.0
blue by 0.7
4079
#22
36.71.1
31.630.5
Auto11.4
Teleop23.6
End1.7
Second
8404
#34
19.81.1
19.718.5
Auto2.7
Teleop13.7
End3.5
blue by 7.5
589
#26
27.31.6
20.218.6
Auto6.1
Teleop13.1
End8.1
Third
4711
#37
11.41.1
13.612.4
Auto3.3
Teleop5.7
End2.3
blue by 6.5
5514
#12
17.91.6
17.515.9
Auto6.2
Teleop9.4
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsMissed34%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
56%Barge oddsMissed39%Barge oddsMissed