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Red129
686329.1
61438.0
97746.6
Blue152
335930.6
859046.2
450529.0
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions134108406080100120160180200129152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
Teleop+13
Endgame+23
Fouls+23
AutonomousRed +8
9Leave0
4Coral scored#4
21Coral points22
30Total auto22
TeleoperatedBlue +21
13Coral scored#19
45Coral points68
4Processor algae#3
6Net algae#7
24Processor points18
24Net points28
48Algae points46
93Total teleop114
Reef
6L4#9
4L3#7
3L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
0Foul points0
129Total score152

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
977
#44
46.60.3
46.346.6
Auto10.1
Teleop30.1
End6.4
red by 0.4
8590
#47
46.23.0
42.045.0
Auto9.6
Teleop34.6
End2.0
Second
614
#31
38.00.3
37.638.0
Auto7.5
Teleop27.8
End2.7
red by 7.4
3359
#25
30.63.0
27.630.6
Auto4.1
Teleop23.5
End3.0
Third
6863
#41
29.10.3
28.729.1
Auto7.3
Teleop21.9
End-0.1
red by 0.1
4505
#46
29.03.0
26.029.0
Auto8.1
Teleop18.2
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
27%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
57%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsEarned