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Qual 1072025 FIRST Chesapeake District Championship presented by Qualcomm
Red153
511534.7
173153.5
680243.1
Blue183
374851.4
83659.1
11650.3
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions133167100150200250153183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
Teleop+28
Endgame+18
Fouls+30
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave0
7Coral scored#5
37Coral points27
37Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +38
16Coral scored#23
58Coral points82
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#7
12Processor points18
20Net points28
32Algae points46
90Total teleop128
Reef
7L4#8
7L3#9
4L2#6
5L1 · trough#5
30Game pieces#38
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +30
0Foul points12
153Total score183

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1731
#17
53.51.8
51.8→53.6
Auto13.5
Teleop31.2
End8.8
blue by 5.6
836
#14
59.11.5
54.7→56.3
Auto13.6
Teleop39.3
End6.2
Second
6802
#45
43.11.8
41.3→43.1
Auto10.6
Teleop26.2
End6.4
blue by 8.3
3748
#5
51.41.5
47.7→49.2
Auto9.8
Teleop31.7
End9.9
Third
5115
#16
34.71.8
32.9→34.7
Auto6.2
Teleop19.9
End8.5
blue by 15.6
116
#12
50.31.5
45.4→46.9
Auto6.1
Teleop35.9
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned97%Barge oddsEarned