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Qual 472025 FIRST Chesapeake District Championship presented by Qualcomm
Red111
463835.4
337335.9
632623.0
Blue168
907256.9
872630.4
97746.6
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88131050100150200250111168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+63
Endgame+55
Fouls+57
AutonomousBlue +21
9Leave3
0Coral scored#5
0Coral points27
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +42
19Coral scored#24
70Coral points86
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#8
6Processor points12
12Net points32
18Algae points44
88Total teleop130
Reef
8L4#12
6L3#9
3L2#6
2L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#39
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +57
0Foul points2
111Total score168

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3373
#33
35.90.9
31.8→32.7
Auto8.9
Teleop18.5
End8.6
blue by 21.0
9072
#7
56.92.7
50.1→52.8
Auto11.4
Teleop45.6
End-0.1
Second
4638
#42
35.40.9
33.8→34.7
Auto9.6
Teleop23.8
End2.0
blue by 11.2
977
#44
46.62.7
37.9→40.6
Auto10.1
Teleop30.1
End6.4
Third
6326
#52
23.00.9
19.9→20.8
Auto6.5
Teleop14.3
End2.2
blue by 7.4
8726
#54
30.42.7
26.8→29.5
Auto8.4
Teleop20.9
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsMissed95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned63%Barge oddsMissed