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Red118
482135.6
68643.1
823027.5
Blue114
188541.7
236350.0
450529.0
45%Model gave it55%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions125127100110120140150160170118114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+6
+4Endgame
+4Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave6
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points10
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +1
13Coral scored#16
45Coral points56
4Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
24Processor points12
16Net points16
40Algae points28
85Total teleop84
Reef
6L4#6
4L3#7
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#24
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
0Foul points0
118Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
686
#11
43.10.3
40.840.5
Auto10.3
Teleop27.1
End5.7
blue by 6.9
2363
#21
50.00.4
38.237.8
Auto7.6
Teleop33.1
End9.2
Second
4821
#22
35.60.3
29.228.8
Auto7.8
Teleop22.3
End5.5
blue by 6.2
1885
#20
41.70.4
29.629.2
Auto5.3
Teleop33.8
End2.7
Third
8230
#29
27.50.3
26.125.7
Auto4.4
Teleop15.4
End7.7
blue by 1.5
4505
#46
29.00.4
24.424.0
Auto8.1
Teleop18.2
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsMissed46%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
63%Barge oddsEarned57%Barge oddsEarned