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Red116
686329.1
218624.3
88860.6
Blue125
253436.9
511534.7
313653.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111124050150200250300116125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+3Teleop
Endgame+9
Fouls+9
Autonomouslevel
3Leave9
5Coral scored#4
27Coral points21
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +3
16Coral scored#11
58Coral points41
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
72Total teleop69
Reef
7L4#5
8L3#5
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
0Foul points0
116Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
888
#15
60.61.0
46.847.7
Auto17.5
Teleop40.5
End2.6
red by 7.6
3136
#10
53.01.2
42.543.7
Auto13.1
Teleop30.7
End9.2
Second
6863
#41
29.11.0
28.329.3
Auto7.3
Teleop21.9
End-0.1
blue by 7.8
2534
#39
36.91.2
39.040.2
Auto10.9
Teleop23.3
End2.7
Third
2186
#30
24.31.0
26.127.1
Auto6.4
Teleop8.4
End9.5
blue by 10.4
5115
#16
34.71.2
26.027.2
Auto6.2
Teleop19.9
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsEarned80%Barge oddsEarned