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Red133
162963.1
172753.3
173153.5
Blue170
44963.8
62056.1
61438.0
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17914550100200250300133170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+39
Endgame+37
Fouls+37
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave6
6Coral scored#6
30Coral points31
30Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +32
17Coral scored#23
61Coral points81
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#7
12Processor points12
16Net points28
28Algae points40
89Total teleop121
Reef
6L4#13
5L3#7
7L2#4
5L1 · trough#5
29Game pieces#38
BargeRed +2
14Cage & park12
14Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +37
0Foul points0
133Total score170

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1629
#13
63.11.8
57.655.8
Auto20.0
Teleop40.6
End2.5
blue by 0.7
449
#4
63.82.1
54.856.9
Auto12.8
Teleop47.0
End4.1
Second
1731
#17
53.51.8
51.449.6
Auto13.5
Teleop31.2
End8.8
blue by 2.6
620
#19
56.12.1
55.958.0
Auto17.2
Teleop38.6
End0.3
Third
53.31.8
50.849.0
Auto8.4
Teleop35.3
End9.6
red by 15.3
614
#31
38.02.1
28.030.1
Auto7.5
Teleop27.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
49%Coral oddsMissed36%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned28%Barge oddsMissed