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Red222
374851.4
42292.2
859270.6
Blue171
141839.1
54045.6
580456.8
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20511550100150250300222171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+41Teleop
+51Endgame
+51Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave0
6Coral scored#7
28Coral points37
37Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +41
29Coral scored#26
103Coral points94
4Processor algae#2
8Net algae#3
24Processor points12
32Net points12
56Algae points24
159Total teleop118
Reef
15L4#13
6L3#7
9L2#7
5L1 · trough#6
47Game pieces#38
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +51
0Foul points0
222Total score171

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
422
#1
92.21.5
82.483.9
Auto21.1
Teleop59.3
End11.7
red by 35.4
56.82.7
47.550.2
Auto12.6
Teleop36.1
End8.1
Second
70.61.5
61.663.1
Auto14.9
Teleop47.7
End7.9
red by 25.0
540
#37
45.62.7
31.534.2
Auto5.8
Teleop38.0
End1.7
Third
51.41.5
44.145.6
Auto9.8
Teleop31.7
End9.9
red by 12.3
1418
#43
39.12.7
40.843.4
Auto11.6
Teleop18.8
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
52%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned70%Barge oddsEarned