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Red116
190845.9
108631.6
61136.6
Blue181
219959.3
859046.2
454142.7
35%Model gave it65%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11212850100150200116181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+63
Endgame+65
Fouls+65
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave6
5Coral scored#6
24Coral points30
30Total auto36
TeleoperatedBlue +57
11Coral scored#25
38Coral points91
3Processor algae#3
4Net algae#5
18Processor points18
16Net points20
34Algae points38
72Total teleop129
Reef
6L4#13
3L3#10
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#39
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +65
0Foul points0
116Total score181

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1908
#23
45.90.8
39.140.0
Auto9.9
Teleop29.3
End6.7
blue by 13.3
2199
#26
59.34.5
48.653.1
Auto10.5
Teleop37.6
End11.2
Second
611
#49
36.60.8
28.729.5
Auto9.3
Teleop27.5
End-0.1
blue by 9.6
8590
#47
46.24.5
36.641.1
Auto9.6
Teleop34.6
End2.0
Third
1086
#38
31.60.8
35.636.4
Auto9.9
Teleop19.1
End2.6
blue by 11.1
4541
#27
42.74.5
28.533.0
Auto11.0
Teleop29.4
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsEarned63%Barge oddsEarned