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Qual 532025 FIRST Chesapeake District Championship presented by Qualcomm
Red158
12246.6
189537.5
533849.4
Blue143
680243.1
40150.8
53937.2
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12413280100140160180200158143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+17Teleop
+15Endgame
+15Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
7Coral scored#7
34Coral points34
37Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +17
22Coral scored#14
79Coral points50
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#7
12Processor points12
16Net points28
28Algae points40
107Total teleop90
Reef
12L4#5
5L3#7
8L2#6
4L1 · trough#3
35Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +15
0Foul points0
158Total score143

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5338
#28
49.42.8
47.0→49.7
Auto8.8
Teleop38.6
End2.1
blue by 1.4
401
#9
50.81.8
41.1→42.9
Auto15.3
Teleop27.7
End7.8
Second
122
#8
46.62.8
39.2→41.9
Auto9.9
Teleop27.7
End9.0
red by 3.5
6802
#45
43.11.8
38.6→40.4
Auto10.6
Teleop26.2
End6.4
Third
1895
#34
37.52.8
30.2→33.0
Auto7.0
Teleop26.4
End4.2
red by 0.4
539
#24
37.21.8
36.3→38.1
Auto6.4
Teleop28.0
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed30%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
80%Barge oddsEarned74%Barge oddsEarned