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Qual 932025 FIRST Chesapeake District Championship presented by Qualcomm
Red112
580456.8
68643.1
289020.8
Blue149
686329.1
172753.3
210661.4
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13515880100120180200220112149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+25
Teleop+57
Endgame+37
Fouls+37
AutonomousBlue +25
3Leave9
3Coral scored#6
13Coral points32
16Total auto41
TeleoperatedBlue +32
16Coral scored#18
58Coral points64
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#7
6Processor points12
8Net points28
14Algae points40
72Total teleop104
Reef
8L4#9
6L3#6
3L2#6
2L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#33
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +37
0Foul points0
112Total score149

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5804
#6
56.81.1
58.2→57.0
Auto12.6
Teleop36.1
End8.1
blue by 4.7
2106
#32
61.40.1
58.1→58.0
Auto17.8
Teleop36.5
End7.1
Second
686
#11
43.11.1
44.4→43.3
Auto10.3
Teleop27.1
End5.7
blue by 10.2
1727
#3
53.30.1
54.4→54.3
Auto8.4
Teleop35.3
End9.6
Third
2890
#53
20.81.1
20.5→19.3
Auto4.9
Teleop13.8
End2.2
blue by 8.2
6863
#41
29.10.1
28.8→28.7
Auto7.3
Teleop21.9
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed51%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
69%Barge oddsEarned93%Barge oddsMissed