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Red128
364828.1
438842.3
299659.3
Blue84
462436.5
455029.8
197713.8
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions132745010015020012884

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+28Teleop
+38Endgame
+44Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave6
9Coral scored#3
44Coral points17
44Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +7
11Coral scored#10
38Coral points35
3Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
18Processor points6
8Net points16
26Algae points22
64Total teleop57
Reef
7L4#4
4L3#5
6L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
25Game pieces#18
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +44
6Foul points0
128Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.30.4
51.351.7
Auto14.7
Teleop37.3
End7.3
red by 22.8
4624
#19
36.51.0
29.830.8
Auto9.8
Teleop25.6
End1.2
Second
4388
#26
42.30.4
41.341.7
Auto10.9
Teleop29.2
End2.1
red by 12.4
4550
#24
29.80.6
30.731.2
Auto4.5
Teleop24.0
End1.4
Third
28.10.4
22.823.2
Auto8.2
Teleop14.4
End5.5
red by 14.2
1977
#37
13.81.0
14.815.7
Auto5.3
Teleop6.7
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned51%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
91%Barge oddsEarned27%Barge oddsMissed