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Red95
741526.4
651054.7
320022.4
Blue53
747919.5
441826.0
942742.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103884060801201401601809553

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
+46Teleop
+44Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
9Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points4
9Total auto10
TeleoperatedRed +47
17Coral scored#8
62Coral points27
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
12Processor points0
8Net points8
20Algae points8
82Total teleop35
Reef
9L4#4
3L3#3
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +42
0Foul points2
95Total score53

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.70.2
48.548.7
Auto13.3
Teleop34.4
End7.0
red by 12.5
9427
#13
42.22.0
41.939.8
Auto13.1
Teleop28.3
End0.8
Second
7415
#36
26.40.2
23.423.6
Auto3.9
Teleop19.9
End2.6
red by 0.4
4418
#12
26.02.0
26.724.7
Auto4.1
Teleop16.3
End5.5
Third
3200
#39
22.40.2
19.719.9
Auto3.1
Teleop19.2
End0.1
red by 2.8
7479
#46
19.53.4
13.19.7
Auto2.9
Teleop14.4
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsMissed69%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsMissed53%Barge oddsMissed