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Qual 372025 Colorado Regional
Red96
179916.6
208333.1
858421.3
Blue144
226120.0
690747.2
224049.7
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6012005010015096144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+64
Endgame+58
Fouls+48
AutonomousBlue +28
6Leave6
1Coral scored#6
3Coral points31
9Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +36
11Coral scored#16
39Coral points59
2Processor algae#4
5Net algae#6
12Processor points24
20Net points24
32Algae points48
71Total teleop107
Reef
3L4#9
5L3#7
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#32
BargeRed +6
6Cage & park0
6Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +48
10Foul points0
96Total score144

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2083
#33
33.11.9
27.2→29.1
Auto5.6
Teleop26.1
End1.5
blue by 16.6
2240
#22
49.72.2
45.1→47.3
Auto11.2
Teleop38.5
End0.1
Second
8584
#29
21.31.2
20.1→21.2
Auto6.0
Teleop12.8
End2.5
blue by 26.0
6907
#8
47.22.2
39.3→41.5
Auto13.1
Teleop32.7
End1.5
Third
1799
#50
16.61.9
12.2→14.2
Auto2.5
Teleop13.0
End1.1
blue by 3.4
2261
#42
20.03.6
14.9→18.5
Auto3.7
Teleop16.9
End-0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsMissed75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsEarned20%Barge oddsMissed