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Red154
906835.9
453633.4
161965.1
Blue89
459340.3
372919.4
130318.3
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1377505010015020015489

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+51Teleop
+53Endgame
+65Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave3
4Coral scored#3
21Coral points13
30Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +37
21Coral scored#13
76Coral points45
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
96Total teleop59
Reef
8L4#5
8L3#5
5L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
29Game pieces#19
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +65
12Foul points0
154Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.10.6
59.259.8
Auto16.5
Teleop40.3
End8.2
red by 24.8
4593
#16
40.30.2
39.639.8
Auto11.7
Teleop23.1
End5.6
Second
35.91.0
28.029.1
Auto5.6
Teleop28.6
End1.7
red by 16.5
3729
#47
19.40.3
19.820.1
Auto3.3
Teleop14.4
End1.6
Third
4536
#31
33.41.0
27.328.4
Auto5.4
Teleop25.8
End2.2
red by 15.2
1303
#25
18.30.3
14.615.0
Auto2.8
Teleop13.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsEarned22%Barge oddsEarned