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Red66
225919.2
105621.7
380716.1
Blue96
955219.5
833433.3
1068626.5
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51890204060801001201406696

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+30
Endgame+28
Fouls+30
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +27
13Coral scored#16
46Coral points57
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
0Processor points12
8Net points12
8Algae points24
54Total teleop81
Reef
5L4#6
4L3#6
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#22
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +30
0Foul points2
66Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1056
#32
21.70.2
16.716.5
Auto4.1
Teleop13.0
End4.6
blue by 11.6
8334
#20
33.30.4
27.627.3
Auto4.5
Teleop26.9
End1.9
Second
2259
#44
19.20.4
14.213.8
Auto5.8
Teleop12.1
End1.4
blue by 7.2
26.50.4
18.618.3
Auto3.9
Teleop21.0
End1.5
Third
3807
#30
16.10.4
14.814.5
Auto3.9
Teleop10.3
End1.9
blue by 3.4
9552
#41
19.50.4
24.223.8
Auto3.9
Teleop13.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsMissed55%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed51%Barge oddsMissed