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Red195
17524.8
17675.8
740787.1
Blue176
169966.9
19561.0
199132.6
74%Model gave it26%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21618050100150200250300195176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+7Teleop
+17Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave9
10Coral scored#9
51Coral points45
51Total auto54
TeleoperatedRed +10
22Coral scored#19
78Coral points68
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#6
12Processor points12
24Net points24
36Algae points36
114Total teleop104
Reef
12L4#10
10L3#9
5L2#5
5L1 · trough#4
40Game pieces#36
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +19
6Foul points4
195Total score176

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
87.10.0
86.786.7
Auto24.6
Teleop49.7
End12.8
red by 20.2
66.90.2
66.666.8
Auto12.0
Teleop48.3
End6.6
Second
176
#2
75.80.0
75.375.3
Auto19.6
Teleop47.9
End8.3
red by 14.8
195
#13
61.00.2
60.660.8
Auto17.9
Teleop36.4
End6.7
Third
175
#23
24.80.0
24.324.3
Auto5.0
Teleop17.2
End2.5
blue by 7.9
1991
#17
32.60.2
32.332.5
Auto5.3
Teleop24.8
End2.5