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Red164
169966.9
19561.0
199132.6
Blue118
514251.3
42926.7
57151.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19215150100250300164118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
+36Teleop
+48Endgame
+46Fouls
AutonomousBlue +11
9Leave3
6Coral scored#10
31Coral points48
40Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +47
18Coral scored#12
64Coral points43
4Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
24Processor points6
16Net points8
40Algae points14
104Total teleop57
Reef
6L4#8
10L3#5
5L2#5
3L1 · trough#4
32Game pieces#25
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +46
6Foul points8
164Total score118

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.90.3
66.966.6
Auto12.0
Teleop48.3
End6.6
red by 15.1
571
#5
51.80.7
52.651.8
Auto10.5
Teleop40.5
End0.9
Second
195
#13
61.00.3
60.960.6
Auto17.9
Teleop36.4
End6.7
red by 9.7
5142
#22
51.30.7
52.051.3
Auto12.7
Teleop30.7
End7.8
Third
1991
#17
32.60.3
32.632.3
Auto5.3
Teleop24.8
End2.5
red by 5.9
429
#16
26.70.7
27.426.7
Auto8.1
Teleop13.0
End5.7