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Red146
715351.3
23730.5
23062.2
Blue148
514251.3
42926.7
57151.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions161144050100200250300146148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+10Teleop
Endgame+2
Fouls+2
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave0
8Coral scored#7
41Coral points37
44Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +3
19Coral scored#14
68Coral points51
2Processor algae#3
2Net algae#4
12Processor points18
8Net points16
20Algae points34
88Total teleop85
Reef
11L4#9
7L3#4
6L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
31Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +2
0Foul points0
146Total score148

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#9
62.20.0
62.262.2
Auto17.7
Teleop37.0
End7.6
red by 10.4
571
#5
51.80.4
52.252.6
Auto10.5
Teleop40.5
End0.9
Second
51.30.0
51.351.3
Auto11.9
Teleop32.9
End6.6
Level
5142
#22
51.30.4
51.652.0
Auto12.7
Teleop30.7
End7.8
Third
237
#20
30.50.0
30.430.5
Auto5.8
Teleop23.5
End1.2
red by 3.8
429
#16
26.70.4
27.127.4
Auto8.1
Teleop13.0
End5.7